When the Patriots play against the Bills for the third time in the second NFL playoff game in Saturday’s AFC wild card match (20:15 ET, CBS), teams will seek to advance to the division playoffs by breaking away from their division in the base season 2021
Buffalo jumped to No. 3, while New England dropped to No. 6 in week 18 to create this “three-match”. The Bills will try to make another QB race with Josh Allen, while the Patriots will hope that rookie Mac Jones can win in his first post-season start after leading Alabama to the national championship last year.
Bills and Patriots are the two best defenses, so expect a physical game in which it should be difficult to get yards and points.
Here is everything you need to know about betting on Patriots vs. Bills in the NFL 2022 playoffs, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for the wild card game.
MULTIPLE WILD CARD SELECTIONS: Against Spreading Straight up
Patriots vs. Odds Bills on an NFL playoff game
- Span: Accounts up to 4
- Through under: 43.5
- Moneyine: Patriots +164, accounts -196
(betting odds for FanDuel bookmaker)
The Bills moved around the field goals all week. They’ve played better since beating the Panthers in Week 15, including how they handled the Patriots on the road in Week 16. They have played four games in a row since losing to the Patriots and Buccaneers.
Historical series Patriots vs. Bills
The Patriots still lead 77-46-1. However, the Bills have won three of the last four in the last two seasons. The Patriots won 14-10 in Buffalo in week 13. The Bills won in New England 33-21 in week 16. Overall, with the Bill Belichick, the Patriots won eight of the last 11 as part of the domination.
Three trends to know
—56 percent of spreadmasters trust Belichick and the Patriots more to cover them as road losers, and remember they won straight in Buffalo.
—64 percent of punters above / below the bettor think that this number is too low, even though two elite scoring defenses are playing in the game.
“Patriots are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 directly in the last 10 matches. The total number exceeded in six of these games. The Bills are 5-4-1 ATS and 6-4 SU in the last 10 games, half of which are over.
Three things to observe
Jones vs. Bills’ pass rush and secondary
Buffalo will work tirelessly to put pressure on rookie QB, and the key is to force Jones to pass. He had no bags or turnovers in the first meeting, but was dropped once and dropped two interventions in a lost effort.
The Patriots will stick to the forces of Damien Harris and Rhamondr Stevenson, their successful game plan from the first meeting, as much as possible. But the Bills also found their feature back in Devin Singletary. During the last four games, he has produced 323 yards in 76 passes for 5 TDs. A team rushing for more yards should win.
In the third phase, the Bills and Patriots will be looking for big games to support their offensive and defense through field positions. They also have two of the most reliable kickers in the league in Tyler Bass and Nick Folk. Points and yards will be premium, so any great help here will be huge.
The statistics that matter
763 rushing yards and 6.3 rushing yards per attempt. These are the numbers that Allen mentioned on the spot, first it’s the career high and second it’s the best mark in the league in 2021. Allen finds it difficult to defend herself when she starts as a freight train, either intentionally or out of scramble. Belichick also can’t handle the wild card. In Winning Week 16, the Patriots tore 64 yards.
Predictions vs. Patriots Bills
The Patriots often defeated the Bills because of their great experiences with Belichick and Tom Brady. But now this force of timeliness belongs to Sean McDermott and Allen. given Jones’ newcomer status. Bills will hold the game in Allen’s hands and let him run and pass freely, which worked beautifully when he was warming up overall. The Bills also have better overall skill support with which to survive and advance.
Bills 23, Patriots 20