Battle for the relegation Premier League analyzed with key matches in the next seven days football news

Watford will face Newcastle, Burnley and Norwich over the next seven days as the battle intensifies. We evaluate the state in the fight for survival …

Check out the next three Watford matches: Newcastle (a), Burnley (a) and Norwich (h), all in seven days, starting with their Saturday trip to St James’ Park. Claudio Ranieri’s team is currently out of the 13-point relegation zone, but that could be a different story at the end of this gigantic week.

Norwich, although he has suffered six defeats per turn without scoring, is still in touch with Watford with 10 points, with Newcastle and Burnley having 11 points, although Sean Dyche’s team has two matches in hand.

Here we look at how their fixtures measure who has the easiest raid, assess the statistics to find reasons for hope and fear in terms of survival, and our tipper Jones Knows analyzes the chances …

Watford

Claudio Ranieri has been appointed the new manager of Watford

Position: 17
Games played: 18
Game points: 0.72
Sky Bet Descent Rate: 1/2

Average position of remaining opponents: 11:35
Average PPG of remaining opponents: 1.28
Key devices to note: January 15: Newcastle (a), January 18: Burnley (a), January 21: Norwich (h), February 26: Man Utd (a), April 2: Liverpool (a), April 23: Man City (a), April 30: Burnley (h), May 22: Chelsea (a)

Reasons for hope

Dennis is a threat. Emmanuel Dennis has contributed 13 goals and assists together to survive Watford – only one player has multiple goals this season, Mohamed Salah, who is 25 years ahead. Dennis definitely felt his presence in his Premier League debut campaign and admitted it. most fouls (38) and collecting the most yellow cards in common (six).

That winning feeling. With four, Watford has as many league wins as the three teams under them combined. In Premier League history, only five teams with less than eight wins have escaped (most recently Southampton in 2017-18 with seven). With more than half the season left, eight victories are much more achievable for Watford than for any of their four lower-ranking rivals. As the table below shows, Watford also has a slightly easier second half of the season in terms of the remaining matches.

Reasons for fear

A clean break. Watford is the only team in the top four divisions without a net account this season, having reached the 96th minute of their last league match without cashing in before Tottenham’s last goal. The Hornets race without a net account in the Premier League now makes 29 games – one they need in the coming weeks to avoid breaking the West Brom Premier League record of 34 games without a net account, which was set in 2010/11. They are the only four of the bottom who still have to play with Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea away from home.

Home discomfort. The season ticket holders on Vicarage Road have seen 33 goals this season, but two-thirds of them have been scored by guests – 22 home goals collected are the most common goals in the division this season. In order for Watford to survive, he must tighten in the back, their 57 shots on goal facing home is also the highest of all teams this season.

Burnley

Burnley manager Sean Dyche applauds fans after the Premier League match at Turf Moor in Burnley.  Date of photo: Saturday, October 30, 2021.

Position: 18
Games played: 17
PPG: 0.64
Sky Bet Descent Rate: 8/13

Average position of remaining opponents: 10.67
Average PPG of remaining opponents: 1.34
Key devices to note: January 18: Watford (h), February 8: Man Utd (h), February 13: Liverpool (h), March 5: Chelsea (h), April 2: Man City (h), April 9 : Norwich (a), April 30: Watford (a), May 22: Newcastle (h)

Reasons for hope

Hard to beat. Burnley actually avoided defeating in more games (nine) than he lost (eight) this season, which none of the other four bottoms can claim. They have the best defensive balance in the bottom half, scoring the same number of goals (27) as West Ham and Man Utd, who both stare at a potential qualification for the Champions League.

Maximum performance. Once he returns from the ongoing AFCON, Maxwel Cornet will be crucial to Burnley’s hopes of survival. The Ivory Coast national team has the best Premier League conversion this season among 27 players with five or more non-scoring Premier League goals, scoring six times out of just 17 attempts.

Reasons for fear

Worried about age. The top 11 of the last Premier League Burnley game against Leeds averaged 30 years and 317 days, the oldest in the division this season and the oldest in Premier League history. Will Burnley have more matches than any other team to run away from problems?

Wood loss. With the departure of Chris Wood, Burnley lost a player who scored 28 percent of his Premier League goals since his arrival in 2017. Only one of his teammates, Ashley Barnes, has even doubled in the last five seasons. while Wood also leads the Clarets this season in terms of shots, touches in the box and won air battles.

Newcastle

Eddie Howe is Newcastle's new head coach

Position: 19
Games played: 19
PPG: 0.57
Sky Bet Descent Rate: 5/6

Average position of remaining opponents: 10.47
Average PPG of remaining opponents: 1.37
Key devices to note: January 15: Watford (h), March 12: Chelsea (a), April 23: Norwich (a), April 30: Liverpool (h), May 7: Man City (a), May 22: Burnley (a)

Reasons for hope

How to get ahead. Newcastle scored the opening goal in nine games, a number better than just eight teams. Eddie Howe has successfully coached an attack in the Premier League – his team from Bournemouth placed seventh, ninth and seventh in the number of goals scored in the second, third and fourth seasons in the top division.

Match winners. Newcastle has the best dribbler in the Allan Saint-Maximin division (133 attempts this season), the best player in the Kieran Trippier (1.9 chances created in 90 minutes in his last league season with Tottenham in 2018-19) and signed a contract. Wood, who has scored the second biggest goal in the Premier League since arriving in Burnley in August 2017 (17).

Reasons for fear

Leaking goals. Newcastle is the only team to have three different goalkeepers who have competed in three or more Premier League games this season, but none of them have helped much – their combined 58 percent success rate is the lowest in the entire division. Forty-two goals collected is the club’s most after 19 league campaign matches in 61 years, since the 1960-61 season, which ended in a relegation.

Holding guides. The drop of 19 points from the winning positions is a worrying record throughout the season, let alone in the middle. Only four Premier League teams dropped more than 19 points from last season’s winning positions, while Newcastle itself last did so in 2004-05 (down 31 points).

Norwich

Dean Smith shows his frustration on the sidelines

Position: 20
Games played: 20
PPG: 0.5
Sky Bet Descent Rate: 1/12

Average position of remaining opponents: 10.28
Average PPG of remaining opponents: 1.28
Key devices to note: January 21: Watford (a), February 12: Man City (h), February 19: Liverpool (a), April 9: Burnley (h), April 16: Man Utd (a), April 23 : Newcastle (h), May 22: Tottenham (h)

Reasons for hope

The Great Escape of 2005. It’s worrying for Norwich fans that 10 of the 11 teams that have previously scored 19 games with 10 points or less in Premier League history have come down. But one survivor, West Brom, achieved the largest leak in 2004-05. Reinforced by the January arrivals of Kevin Campbell and Kieran Richardson, the Baggies survived by a single point after just five defeats in the second half of the season.

Avoiding humiliation. If survival seems like a big deal at the moment, Norwich could be more comforted by needing only two extra points to avoid running alongside the Derby, which is still 11 points long, in the 2007-08 season. least of all teams in the entire Premier League season.

Reasons for fear

Lack of goals. The Canaries recorded just eight for the entire season, setting a new Premier League record for the least goals of any team at half time. Since Teemu Pukki last found a net against Newcastle in November, they have played six games with 56 failed attempts, leaving Norwich stuck at 399 goals in Premier League history.

Defense. Along with their goal of scoring, Norwich also has big problems in the back, placing at the end of the table in the number of shots per goal per match (5.6) and at the bottom in the number of penalties received (six). They collected 7.7 goals more than their xG, which means they need to improve at both ends to maintain some hope.

Bettors’ view: Back to Newcastle and a drop to 6/5 with Sky Bet, says Jones Knows

If it smells like a descent season, tastes like a descent and feels like a descent season, then it is most likely a descent season. Everything we saw from Newcastle United this season was screaming for the descent.

The late settlement of Norwich in a key battle at the bottom, dominating the period of matches, but an unsuccessful victory, countless referees against them and a huge killing of the FA Cup in addition.

Despite the advantage of the financial muscles against their other three descending rivals, odds 6/5 on Newcastle’s descent with Sky Bet Reach out to those looking for a longer polka dot for the rest of the season they would cheer for. Traders almost descended from Norwich in 1/14 quotes about their hopes of a trapdoor, while Watford (1/2) and Burnley (8/13) are also betting in this four-horse survival race. Burnley is too short for me.

I think this award significantly underestimates Sean Dyche’s experience and know-how in navigating this Burnley team to safety. The Clarets were in deeper trouble than this, but they still made it to the other side of the Premier League. In the 2018/19 season, the Dyche boys were eighteen after 20 games, but won eight of the last 18 games and finished comfortably above the 40-point drop zone. The core of this team remains the same, as does Dyche’s method of creating unity within his group to achieve results at key times of the season.

So, if Burnley gets out of trouble, Newcastle will remain as the market value in the odds against.

The expectation from the way their price is formed lies only in their ability to wave a magic wand in January. Despite its financial impact, it will attract quality players to the recruiting team to join them, likely to be the Sky Bet Championship next season with about 50 percent. Trippier and Wood will help matters, but the balance between their center and defense has been poor for years. Without correction, the results will continue on the same bumpy path.

I have also not seen many examples of the new hierarchy being able to make quick and clever decisions, with much of their transfer plans being revealed to various reporters to excite and reassure fans. The owners are too busy with their own PR at the moment. Over time, they may learn to keep the openness in which they do business in check, but it is not a way to run a successful football club.

At current prices, it pays to invest in Newcastle.

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